Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
