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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
FU
Ajax
2 - 0
Utrecht
Brobbey (39'), Taylor (77')
Mannsverk (65')
Rensch (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Azarkan (36'), Flamingo (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-2 FC Utrecht

This has traditionally been viewed as a likely home win given the gulf in class between the sides, yet a potential thriller could play out on this occasion. No-one would be surprised if Utrecht ran out winners in Amsterdam, but we are going to give the benefit of the doubt to Ajax in a high-scoring game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Utrecht has a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it is 1-2 (5.38%).

Result
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
59.31% (-1.106 -1.11) 20.46% (0.452 0.45) 20.23% (0.652 0.65)
Both teams to score 60.81% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (-1.199 -1.2)35.9% (1.197 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (-1.333 -1.33)57.99% (1.329 1.33)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.12% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)11.88% (0.666 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.82% (-1.439 -1.44)37.18% (1.437 1.44)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)31% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.101 -0.1)67.3% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 59.31%
    FC Utrecht 20.23%
    Draw 20.46%
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.93% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 59.31%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.216 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.154 0.15)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 20.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Ajax
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV
Saturday, February 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 4-2 Volendam
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 PSV
Sunday, January 21 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

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