SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Stromsgodset |
55.45% ( -0.72) | 21.86% ( 0.4) | 22.68% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.71% ( -1.56) | 39.28% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.38% ( -1.65) | 61.61% ( 1.64) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0.75) | 14.11% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.26% ( -1.47) | 41.74% ( 1.46) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( -0.61) | 30.72% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( -0.72) | 66.97% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.45% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.86% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 22.68% |
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