Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.
