Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 70.67%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 12.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Jerv win it was 2-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.