SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Aalesund | 12 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | HamKam | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Viking FK | 13 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aalesund in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Stromsgodset |
44.48% ( 0.1) | 25.03% ( 0.02) | 30.5% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.16) | 47.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.15) | 69.56% ( 0.15) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.02) | 21.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.75% ( -0.03) | 54.25% ( 0.03) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -0.16) | 29.01% ( 0.16) |
