Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.55%), while for a Liverpool Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
