Northampton can afford to play for a draw in order to guarantee qualification from Group F, while Burton are growing in confidence and could take a point away from Sixfields on Tuesday. It remains to be seen whether that would be enough to stop Notts County overtaking them, though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 29.86% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Burton Albion
45.32% ( 0.02)	24.82% ( -0.01)	29.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25% (

0.04)

46.75% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98% (

0.04)

69.01% (

-0.04)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

0.03)

20.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71% (

0.04)

53.29% (

-0.04)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

0.02)

29.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

0.02)

65.09% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 45.32%

Burton Albion 29.86%

Draw 24.82%

Northampton Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 45.32%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.86%