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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
4 - 2
Forest U21s

Tollitt (42', 87'), Brown (67'), Hope (78')
Williams (15'), Stott (45+2'), Songo'o (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Back (22'), Lewis (50' og.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest U21s 0-2 Saints U21s
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Morecambe 2-1 Nottingham Forest Under-21s

We are expecting a tight match on Tuesday, with Morecambe struggling at the bottom of League Two, but we are backing the home side to navigate their way to a vital win in the Group C fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morecambe win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s has a probability of 30.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win is 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
MorecambeDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
46.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 23.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 30.3% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.97% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (0.258 0.26)40.57% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (0.266 0.27)62.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.084999999999994 0.08)17.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.151 0.15)48.61% (-0.152 -0.15)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (0.179 0.18)25.77% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (0.24400000000001 0.24)60.72% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 46.18%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 30.3%
    Draw 23.51%
MorecambeDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Morecambe
Monday, September 23 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest U21s 0-2 Saints U21s
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Palace U21s 2-1 Forest U21s
Monday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Forest U21s 0-1 Brighton U21s
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Reading U21s 0-2 Forest U21s
Friday, August 30 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Norwich U21s 0-3 Forest U21s
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1


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