Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Everton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
