We said: Watford 2-0 MK Dons
While they have not been all that successful against the top sides in England over the past few seasons, Watford have a lot more experience playing high-calibre teams.
We believe the Dons will have difficulty penetrating a Hornets side who have shown tremendous poise and continuity on the defensive side this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Watford | Draw | MK Dons |
47.51% ( 0) | 24.64% | 27.85% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0) |
| 52.88% ( -0) | 47.12% ( 0) |
| 30.64% ( -0) | 69.36% ( 0) |
| 80.1% ( 0) | 19.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.98% ( 0) | 52.03% |
| 69.22% ( -0.01) | 30.79% ( 0.01) |
