SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong Ajax |
65.85% ( -0.28) | 18.17% ( 0.1) | 15.99% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.74% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.11) | 32.16% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.24% ( -0.14) | 53.75% ( 0.14) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.85% ( -0.09) | 9.15% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.97% ( -0.23) | 31.03% ( 0.23) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( 0.14) | 33.14% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.26% ( 0.16) | 69.74% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 4.08% Total : 65.85% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 15.99% |
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