Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
