SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Almere City |
31.47% ( -0.15) | 23.41% ( -0.05) | 45.11% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 62.01% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.17) | 39.49% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.17% ( 0.17) | 61.83% ( -0.17) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( -0.01) | 24.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.02% ( -0.02) | 58.98% ( 0.02) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.15) | 17.85% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.39% ( 0.26) | 48.6% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 45.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 101 | 42 | 59 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 96 | 41 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 66 | 38 | 28 | 67 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 65 | 64 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 62 | 1 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 60 | 56 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 50 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 49 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 74 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 82 | -36 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 37 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 27 |
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