Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
