SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Den Bosch | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Jong FC Utrecht | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Helmond Sport | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | MVV Maastricht | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Almere City | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Willem II | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Almere City |
26.52% ( -0.07) | 24.56% ( 0.05) | 48.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( -0.28) | 47.68% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.26) | 69.88% ( 0.26) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( -0.2) | 32.1% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.43% ( -0.23) | 68.57% ( 0.23) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.1) | 19.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.56% ( -0.17) | 51.44% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Almere City |
| 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.52% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 48.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 57 |
| 2 | Heracles | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 66 | 32 | 34 | 51 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 42 |
| 5 | Willem II | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 39 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 31 |
| 14 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
| 15 | Dordrecht | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Helmond SportHelmond | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 26 |
| 18 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 25 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 17 |
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