Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
