Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
