Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
