SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viborg FF win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viborg FF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Viborg FF | Draw | Aarhus |
39.82% ( 0.2) | 25.95% ( 0.03) | 34.22% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( -0.17) | 50.2% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( -0.15) | 72.16% ( 0.15) |
| Viborg FF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.03) | 24.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.58% ( 0.04) | 59.41% ( -0.05) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -0.23) | 28.01% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.34% ( -0.29) | 63.65% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viborg FF | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Copenhagen | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Viborg FFViborg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | AarhusAarhus | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | RandersRanders | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 | Brondby | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | SilkeborgSilkeborg | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | OdenseOdense | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | AC HorsensHorsens | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 23 |
| 11 | Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
| 12 | Aalborg BKAaB | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
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