SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sigma Olomouc win with a probability of 55.51%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sigma Olomouc win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sigma Olomouc would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sigma Olomouc | Draw | MFK Karvina |
55.51% ( 0.07) | 21.41% ( -0.02) | 23.07% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.32% ( 0.05) | 36.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.16% ( 0.06) | 58.84% ( -0.06) |
| Sigma Olomouc Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( 0.04) | 13.22% ( -0.04) |
