MX23RW : Tuesday, July 12 19:29:55
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Tuesday, July 12
Jul 13, 2021 at 2pm UK at Wolfson Stadium
Zambia
2 - 1
Botswana
Shonga (21', 83' pen.)
Sakala (41'), Silwimba (56'), Phiri (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kgamanyane (62')
Orebonye (47'), Johnson (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Botswana win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match.

Result
ZambiaDrawBotswana
45.23%24.4%30.37%
Both teams to score 57.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38%44.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02%66.98%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14%19.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05%51.95%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26%27.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69%63.3%
Score Analysis
    Zambia 45.23%
    Botswana 30.37%
    Draw 24.39%
ZambiaDrawBotswana
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.37%

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