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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
AN
Mozambique
1 - 1
Angola
Antonio (83')
Abudo Zacarias (31'), Bonde (57'), Danito (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benarfa (3')
Ganga (45+1'), Dianzenza (61')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Angola.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Mozambique
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
MozambiqueDrawAngola
24.46% (-0.164 -0.16) 28.95% (0.304 0.3) 46.59% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 40.75% (-0.84800000000001 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.21% (-0.998 -1)64.79% (1.001 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.26% (-0.705 -0.71)83.74% (0.708 0.71)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64% (-0.738 -0.74)43.36% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.4% (-0.621 -0.62)79.6% (0.62400000000001 0.62)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.55 -0.55)28.06% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.703 -0.7)63.71% (0.706 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 24.46%
    Angola 46.58%
    Draw 28.94%
MozambiqueDrawAngola
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.163 0.16)
2-1 @ 5.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.46%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.16% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 15.46% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 9.83% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 46.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Mozambique
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, June 14 at 9am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 3-1 Mozambique
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Algeria
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 1-1 Ghana
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 20 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mali 3-3 Angola
Monday, January 16 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
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