Venezia are on a poor run of form in the league but will back themselves to get back on track against lower league opponents. We fancy the home team to come out on top and progress into the next round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Venezia win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
