Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
