Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between River Plate and Rosario Central.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.28%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.