Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.58%. A win for Colon had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
