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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 13, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Monumental Jose Fierro
Tucuman
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (13'), Lotti (76')
Heredia (49'), Risso (63'), Ortiz (87'), Erbes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De La Fuente (49'), Mancuello (90')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawVelez Sarsfield
24.78%25.5%49.71%
Both teams to score 50.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14%52.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53%74.47%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.67%36.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.88%73.12%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72%21.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79%54.21%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 24.79%
    Velez Sarsfield 49.71%
    Draw 25.5%
Atletico TucumanDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 7.83%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 3.96%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.6%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-2 @ 9.26%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.71%

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