Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 43.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
