Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.