Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
