Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Nacional Potosi and Guabira.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Guabira in this match.
