SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Emelec |
58.09% ( 0.23) | 24.92% ( -0.1) | 16.99% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.38% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( 0.18) | 58.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.65% ( 0.14) | 79.35% ( -0.14) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.16) | 20.25% ( -0.16) |
