Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aucas and Metropolitanos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aucas would win this match.
