Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
