Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
