MX23RW : Sunday, February 12 23:16:14
SM
Merseyside derby: 20 hrs 43 mins
Jul 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK at Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate
1 - 1
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (10')
Perez (36'), Girotti (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hauche (40')
Hauche (43'), Quintana (49'), Florentin (69'), Mac Allister (76'), Coronel (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawArgentinos Juniors
39.7%23.1%37.19%
Both teams to score 64.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62%36.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.48%58.52%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15%18.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.3%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80%20%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81%52.19%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 39.7%
    Argentinos Juniors 37.19%
    Draw 23.1%
River PlateDrawArgentinos Juniors
2-1 @ 8.45%
1-0 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 37.19%

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