Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
