SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Always Ready |
53.24% ( -0.12) | 23.9% ( -0.05) | 22.86% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.36) | 48.16% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.33) | 70.32% ( -0.33) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% ( 0.09) | 18.03% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.08% ( 0.15) | 48.92% ( -0.15) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( 0.35) | 35.48% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.76% ( 0.36) | 72.24% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Always Ready |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.86% |
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