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Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
F
Internacional
1 - 2
Fluminense
Mercado (10')
Henrique (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kennedy (81'), Cano (87')
Martinelli (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Internacional 1-2 Fluminense

The two teams battled out to a draw in the previous leg, and there is no doubt that this will be another closely contested match due to how much is on the line here. However, Fluminense might have enough attacking quality to edge their opponents to earn their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawFluminense
43.15% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 25.68% (0.004999999999999 0) 31.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.03% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)49.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)71.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)29.83% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.064 -0.06)65.91% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 43.15%
    Fluminense 31.17%
    Draw 25.67%
InternacionalDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 31.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Internacional 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, October 1 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Internacional
Thursday, September 28 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Internacional
Thursday, September 21 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-0 Bolivar
Tuesday, August 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Internacional
Thursday, September 28 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Olimpia 1-3 Fluminense
Friday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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