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May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estadio Único
Estudiantes
1 - 0
Nacional
Castro (41')
Noguera (62'), Morel (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lozano (17'), Luis Rodriguez (34'), Trezza (68'), Rodriguez (74'), Coelho (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawNacional
50.58%23.8%25.62%
Both teams to score 56.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9%45.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56%67.44%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 50.58%
    Nacional 25.62%
    Draw 23.79%
EstudiantesDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.58%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.62%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 25.62%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Aldosivi
Friday, April 29 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-0 Bragantino
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colon 2-2 Estudiantes
Saturday, April 23 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Tigre
Tuesday, April 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-6 Estudiantes
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, April 14 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Nacional
Saturday, April 23 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 17 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, April 14 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boston River 0-6 Nacional
Sunday, April 10 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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