Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Libertad in this match.
