SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolivar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolivar.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
40.72% ( -0.63) | 24.33% ( 0.36) | 34.95% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -1.65) | 42.72% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( -1.67) | 65.12% ( 1.67) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.99) | 21.08% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -1.57) | 53.9% ( 1.57) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( -0.62) | 24.03% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( -0.89) | 58.3% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
