SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
68.32% ( 0) | 19.18% ( 0.08) | 12.5% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.53) | 44.98% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -0.51) | 67.34% ( 0.52) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% ( -0.15) | 12.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.32) | 37.68% ( 0.33) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.81% ( -0.46) | 46.19% ( 0.47) |
