Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Centro Sportivo Alagoano win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Tuna Luso had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Centro Sportivo Alagoano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Tuna Luso win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Centro Sportivo Alagoano would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.07) 
