Girona are currently one of the best sides in Spain's top flight, and as La Liga's joint-highest scorers, we think that their firepower will help them ease to a comfortable cup victory over lower-league opposition on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for San Roque de Lepe had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.39%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a San Roque de Lepe win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
0.37) 
-0.54) 
