Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Guijuelo
CD Guijuelo
0 - 3
Sporting Gijon
Gil (70')
Sanchez Garcia (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mateo (59' og.), Hassan (67'), Fernandez (86')
Izquierdoz (60')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between CD Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for CD Guijuelo had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a CD Guijuelo win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result |
| CD Guijuelo | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
21.84% ( -0.02) | 27.82% ( -0.02) | 50.34% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41% ( 0.02) |
| 36.86% ( 0.04) | 63.14% ( -0.04) |
| 17.43% ( 0.03) | 82.57% ( -0.03) |
| 54.98% ( 0) | 45.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.05% | 80.95% ( -0) |
| 74.57% ( 0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.03) |
