Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
