SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Cuba win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Cuba |
65.75% ( 0.02) | 18.66% | 15.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% ( -0.02) | 35.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.02) | 57.55% ( 0.02) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( -0) | 10.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.77% ( -0) | 33.23% ( 0.01) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( -0.03) | 35.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.46% ( -0.03) | 72.53% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Cuba |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.46% 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 65.75% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.58% |
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