Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
