Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.